Draft for AI risk is corporations
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title: Humanity faces an existential threat
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description: Humanity faces an existential threat right now. A lot has been made of predictions that there is a 10% chance that humanity could be wiped out in 10 years by AI. I'm not worried. We have been doing a pretty good job of annihilating and immiserating ourselves without AI.
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- There are some predictions about AI threats
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- See the 10% in 10 years tweet.
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- The mechanism isn't all that clear.
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- This is not a technology problem, it's a human problem.
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- Corporations are like a slow AI.
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- The key is that they are a system complex enough to operate on it's own without any human actually overseeing it.
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- Executives claim no knowledge, but they encourage workers to push boundaries. They assume they have the blessing of their board and their job depends on hitting those targets.
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- Directors pursue aggressive targets but expect to stop short of harm and law breaking. They assume they have the blessing of leadership and their job depends on hitting the targets.
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- ICs cut corners and break laws assuming they will have the blessing of leadership and their job depends on it.
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- The board encourages the executives to make things happen and focuses on the metrics and targets.
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- Corporations are perfectly capable of causing harm to the world already.
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- Tobacco
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- Oil
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- Chemical companies
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- Whaling
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- Factory farming
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- The actual threat of AI is in how we use it, not what we do.
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- Someone has to give it resources
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- Someone has to turn it on
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- Someone has to look the other way when it starts misbehaving
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- Someone has to ignore the warning signs
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- AI won't kill humans, corporations will.
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- Who can stop it?
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- People can demand more
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- Governments can put in regulation
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- Governments can break up the monopolies.
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